Tony's Diary Package — page 379

-7,300,000/208, New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases In the U.S. Confirmed Cases {Thousareds| a ae A he am "a AN h \ hs is / UAT ij F Fd f aan Fa ~ peti f pt I Fa A by Th mH oy y wt a we a te rey Aca i ay ate al i] fa Pa a hie} eS 3 es 2 t ' & a oS & n * : ef @ e = sg 6g a a mee Ciaiky ee 7 oy Mowing Avarage TY SI US La a Ie UU E WUee PR SS Py ck WE Ge ee a . L gressively being protected but uncontrolled community spread leads to infection of the vulnerable members of the cormmunity-- spitalization and fatalities -- states and metros of concern (slides 14-37) iprovements in AR where mitigation efforts are strong and continuing intinued spread in NC-- this is the one state where 3 large universities went on line after opening leaving 90K students living in é college towns but without a anchor to their campus potentially leading to more community spread bal Nations from these regions will drive substantial hospitalizations and fatalities i@ overarching concern relates to the balance of personal mitigation behaviors and the weather driving more activities indoors th the lower humidity increasing the K value (dispersion factor) with lower humidity the droplets partially evaporate allowing for ager suspension In the air and together -- poor personal mitigation and cooling weather with heating will increase the R value 1y baseline immunity in the population (ranging fromm <1-10%3) in all states except LA, NY, NJ (where mortality was 3-4X all other ates) can be offset and overcame by this weather element and increased indoor activities -- this is the concern about continued read in states where the weather is changing (cooling) and the need for immediate mitigation actions by the leadership and the iblic collectively : conversely the improved weather across the south with movement outdoors from air conditioning will lower ith Rl and decrease dispersion (K) -- i@ré also needs to be careful proactive attention to the NE -- cases rising in NYC and Boston ill be key to increase testing in the communities and states where test positivity is rising to prevent further community spread to event increases in hospitalizations and fatalities 1is first several tranches of BINAX to states should be prioritized to states with high community spread Press (CNN) asking on air why Fauci and other TF members are not be able to speak. October 3, 2020 - Global - 34,500,000/1,000,000; USA - 7,300,000/208,100