Tony's Diary Package — page 376

1 October 2020 1. Using Wi as an illustration --slide 5: rising test positivity in the 18-25 age group leads ta increasing test positivity in older age group approximately 2-3 weeks later that then drives new admissions, rising inpatient numbers and increasing fatalities -- preventing that initial wave in areas where other factors - weather deteriaration driving mare inside, decreasing humidity and crowding indoors will be key to prevent further fatalities, 2. Uncontrolled diffuse community spread in MN, WI, ND, SD and Heartland 14, KS, NE, OK, MO where hospitalizations and fatalities are rising and will continue to increase across these regions : as there is insufficient mitigation -- low mask wearing, low physical distancing and inadequate protection of vulnerable persons in community and weather driving communities indoors : LICF aggressively being protected but uncontrolled community spread leads to infection of the vulnerable members of the community -- hespitalization and fatalities 3. Tribal Nations from these regions will drive substantial hospitalizations and fatalities 4. This diffuse spread is not solely university driven but most likely post Labor Day, end of vacations with silent spreading over the past 2-3 weeks through asymptomatic spread similar to post Memorial Day (that was undetected this time due to the change in CDC guidance on testing and many states dramatically decreasing testing): the majority of universities only testing symptomatic students with a tiny prepertion of voluntary surveillance testing (except U of ILL and Clemson) 5. Will be key to increase testing in the communities and states where test positivity is rising to prevent further community spread to prevent increases in hospitalizations and fatalities 6. This first several tranches of BINAX to states should be prioritized to states with high community spread Red states Dark Green states (>10% positive) (<3% positive) AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KY, AZ, CA, CO, DE, HI, IL, LA, ID, MT, NE, OK, SD, UT 1A, KS, MO, SC, WI MN, MS, NC, ND, NV, TN, I MD, MI, OR, PA, WA, RCT: DS BES TE: AE TX, VA WV, WY NJ, NM, NY, OH, RI, VT there was no shortage of surgical masks and that masks are effective at stopping the spread of the virus. "I have been on the airways, on the radio, on TV, begging people to wear masks," Dr. Fauci said. "And I keep talking in the context of wear a mask, keep physical distance, avoid crowds, wash your hands and do things more outdoors versus indoors." -- Simon Romero October 1, 2020 Hope Hicks is infected!!! PRESS: The National Press Club - NFID - Influenza Press Conference; The Tight Rope with Tricia Rose and Cornell West Journalist Michael Specter examines Fauci's career and the challenges of facing COVID-19 with Trump's White House in his new audiobook "Fauci," the first biography to be published on the doctor. Specter writes that he first met Fauci in 1986. Even then, Fauci was a mainstay in both the political and medical communities. He has since served with every U.S. president since Ronald Reagan.