Tony's Diary Package — page 324

rgot Sanger-Katz, Sheryl Gay Stolberg dan Global USA 28 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states but worrying signs across the USA from rising cases in college towns -- included again the AL example : cases were declining now rising in Tuscaloosa (UA) and Lee (Auburn) if this results in spread to the local community this will drive another round of increased hospitalizations and deaths -- we will pull data from all college towns with Universities with more than 15,000 students : we need another call with University Presidents with student bodies over 15,000 Universities did not have an adequate plan for outbreaks from testing to isolation to containment : this has been discussed in all 21 States visited and will continue this week in the visits to MN, ND, WI, IL, Ml, PA -- concerns remain with SD Test positivity rising in lA, SD, MT, ND, WY -- most rapid rise in SD from 7% to 10% More than 50% of deaths coming from 4 states: GA, CA, TX, FL Case declines appear to be stalling -- will track closely over the weekend but day to day comparator from week to week suggests cases could be increasing next week -- driven by the IA, TN and Universities If everyone was to become infected over time with current total cases and increasing by the most optimistic prediction that 5x as many are actually infected that is 25M with 180K deaths -- that would take us to 2.2M deaths even with the improved case fatality rate -- the majority of Americans have not been exposed yet to this virus -- remember most nursing homes (approx 75%) haven't been exposed to COVID 19 -- these types of comments are not helpful Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has By Quoctrung Bui, Margot Sanger-Katz, Sheryl Gay Stolberg, Noah Weiland and Kitty BennettAug. 27, 2020 August 28, 2020 - Global USA • Amazing that there were no leaks to the press following the powder attack. Still >40,000 cases per day