Tony's Diary Package — page 315

25 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states : hottest areas Rio Grande TX, Western TN, N MS, Central Valley CA Slide 12 shows lighter pink in the Sunbelt but movement up into OK, AR, MO, KS, IA, NE, IL, ND, SD Slide 19 shows the metros with significant increase in cases and many of these are college towns Slide 20 -28 are heartland metros some showing slow improvements Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline and continue to decline if gains across the Sunbelt can be maintained and Heartland stabilizes Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70 --slide 6 * Will be important to ensure all Governors are aware of the importance of immediate treatment with Remdesivir and plasma Continued widespread community spread in CA drivenin all size metros and Central Valley moving into eastern OR and WA Test positivity and cases rising in MO, KS, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to control -- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents vacationing in the beach areas with high community spread Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k rok agg SP a PP YP il uN MECCA eh a a? at ae ft ot we of oF a? a s eo oy Pe ae Ss =) = Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases = ® Daily Cases. (] "> 7-day moving average See Below from Martha's Vineyard