Tony's Diary Package — page 304

19 August 2020 Data Summary Slow improvements continue and the gains are fragile and mitigation at the current levels must continue until these States are under 5% test positivity and cases are under 5,100,000, Many of the Heartland states are rising to over 15/100,000 cases and must increase mitigation efforts The stall in rate of case declines is primarily driven by rising cases in the yellow states esp C4 and continued high cases in GA, TX, 1D (data reporting issue in CA and TX} New hospital admissions declining significantly -- current rate 3X May rates Deaths remain high as the lagging indicator from increasing due to substantial spread into communities with high co-morbidities (esp the South) and LTCF but should be stable week over week and potentially decline mext week Continued improvements continue across the Sunbelt red states but not the West Coast with cases in CA, OR, WA Continued alert for Hl Strong mitigation must continue to States with improvements in the Sunbelt to drive cases down to less than 5/100,000 and test positivity less than 3% to contain community spread and prevent surge in mortality throughout the fall --gains are fragile and creating another round of substantial community spread before the fall will further accelerate hospitalizations and deaths : concerns remain about school and university opening with background persistently high community spread and further accelerating transmission Wisconsin included -- test +stable, stable cases but improvements seen in Milwaukee COVID-19 Daily Report mnie ea Deant 15, 2018 A, TL AL L,Y, RT WT, a, 1 A, = Cae counts Test peat iwity ra be Mee CONTE DD) conan par dap [7-tes rverege! Peveeetl fevliegg periditce (Joey aver ap) ED a Dhata Bibs ata pai Ere beats pee 9 ede 9 dey age Mere COW 0E aarti pe ila [Pha age I ] i. I TM i" tH ae Re iit rey : ' it I, = i, F : ja om P I i f i ra f f t t I I ae z a eb oe [a ae ee Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 1k =i wm fal Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases wi i=] = 25k I Wh i ilil I TH TTS TATE TH a rial og? oo ha vot Pei ASe a oho oe @ PoP y eee eae hates ee ie ie ie ea CJ Daily Cases Oo -& T-day moving average