Diary Prequel Package — page 270
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accumulated other mutations besides the original 5 (3 + 2). Ron then
did deep sequencing of the transmissible virus and by reverse genetics
figured out that you needed the 5 + an additional 4 (now he says less
than 4). This was not in the original manuscript (unredacted).
White House does not understand that the 5 mutations + Passage = the
unpassaged 9 mutations. They fixate about not mentioning the precise 9
mutations when anyone can just take any quasispecies and get a
transmissible virus after many passages. You just need a virus and
some ferrets. I again am very uncomfortable in asking Ron to hold
back this information and told him that this would be his choice and he
would have to play it by ear at the meeting, but he will try his best
to be vague about the 9. Another ludicrous happening is that this
export control issue must also get input from the iPC (interagency
Policy Committee) which includes DoD. The night before I am leaving
for Geneva (tomorrow on 5:47 PM flight) DoD says that they want to know
when I am leaving since they are not sure that I can go since they want
the WHO to disinvite the Chinese (where the disease is occurring) since
we (USG) do not share restricted information with them. They fail to
realize that Margaret Chan (Director General of WHO) is Chinese!!!!!
You cannot make this up.
DoD is examining this issue tonight and will let me know tomorrow
if I can go to Geneva.
Feb. 14, 2012 - Approved at the last minute (literally) that I can go
to Geneva and was granted an Export Control License for me, Barbara
Jasny (representing Bruce Alberts of Science), Paul Keim (Chair,
NSABB), and Yoshi Kawaoka (author of Nature article)
Feb. 16-17, 2012 - Geneva - Astounding!! During Ron's presentation of
the data, I asked the "transforming" question that exposed the
confusion that has been propagated regarding the study. It relates to
the uncoupling of the issue of aerosol transmission from deadly
pathogenesis. Bottom line is that the aerosol-transmitted virus when
transmitted to uninfected ferret, not only does not kill them, it does
not even cause significant disease. At worst, some mild flu like sxs.
See below for my detailed description of the data gathered from the
papers, the Geneva presentation together with discussions during the
Geneva meeting including a dinner at Keiji's home with Ron, AB
Osterhaus, Keiji Fukuda, and Yoshi on the evening of Feb. 15 (more on
that later) as well as extensive discussion by phone with Ron after I
returned to USA on Feb. 19 and 20, 2012. Recommendation (consensus) of
the WHO-convened group was to 1) respect the PIP agreement; 2) extend
the voluntary pause ("moratorium") on H5N1
transmissibility/pathogenicity research; 3) Delay publication of the 2
manuscripts until the safety and security issues of such research could
be solidified for others. General agreement that the experiments of
Yoshi and Ron were carried with safety and security that met or
exceeded the guidelines; 4) After meeting conditions in #3, then
publish the manuscripts in full; 5) discussion that the publishing of
redacted manuscripts with mechanism for vetting and distributing to
those with a need to know was completely impractical. This point was
fortified by the almost unbelievable and counterintuitive requirements
of Export Control Licenses. There was a unanimous recommendation for
everything except the recommendation to publish. Nancy Cox did not
comment, but Paul Keim and I stood by the recommendations of the NSABB.
In the roll-out after the meeting in Geneva, Keiji at first messed up
and said that everything was "unanimous consensus", which is an
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Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 13, 2012 - You really cannot make this up if you tried. They | 2012-02-13 | diary entry | 269–270 |
| Feb. 14, 2012 - Approved at the last minute (literally) that I can go | 2012-02-14 | diary entry | 270 |
| Feb. 16-17, 2012 - Geneva - Astounding!! During Ron's presentation of | 2012-02-16 | diary entry | 270–275 |