COVID-19 Records

Attachment

Gates Package, p.1060 · gates:exh:00470

Page text: p.1060 · original PDF

Date
(unknown precision)
Type
attachment · document
Topics
Masks, lockdowns and NPIsIntelligence community assessmentsVaccines
between January and May, in which people from all levels of government, plus the private sector and nongovernmental organizations, got together to discuss existing plans for responding to an outbreak. In the second phase, they put these plans to the test in a functional exercise. Over four days in August 2019, participants worked through a scenario in which tourists visiting China have become ill with a respiratory illness caused by a virus. They fly out of the airport in Lhasa and travel to other cities in China before flying home to their respective countries. The virus turns out to be just as contagious as the 1918 flu strain, and only slightly less deadly. It rapidly spreads from one human to another, making its first U.S. appearance in Chicago and quickly moving to other major cities. At the beginning of the exercise, it has been forty-seven days since the first U.S. case. There are moderate or high caseloads across the Southwest, Midwest, and Northeast. Models are predicting that the virus will make 110 million people in the U.S. sick, put more than 7 million in the hospital, and kill 586,000 Americans. Over the next four days, the participants would debate decisions that would have been unfamiliar to anyone not already versed in outbreak response work: quarantines, personal protective gear, social distancing measures, school closures, public communications, the purchase and distribution of vaccines, and more. Today, of course, these terms are part of our everyday vocabulary. The scope of Crimson Contagion's functional exercise was enormous. It involved 19 federal departments and agencies, 12 states, 15 tribal nations and pueblos, 74 local health departments, 87 hospitals, and more than 100 groups from the private sector. When it was all over, the participants got together to discuss how it had gone. While they found a few things that