A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
-
November 19, 2020 - Global USA 164,000 cases yesterday; 1900 deaths Did Miami Mayors call. New Mayor of Miami-Dade - Daniella Levine Cava, replaced Mayor Carlos Gimenez who has been elected to Congress. Mayor Francis Suarez is Mayor of Miami City. Real problem is that the Mayors want to do the correct thing, but the Governor has ordered that bars and restaurants open at full capacity. The best that he will give the Mayors is a 2 hour curfew, i.e. close bars at 10:00 PM. He is a Trumper and a real problem. Screw people dying; save the economy. Major staff shortages in hospitals in Midwest and other areas. This completely belies the stunning denial that Mark Meadows, POTUS, even the VP, certainly Scott Atlas are manifesting. They believe that the increase in cases is due to increases in testing. They just deny that hospitalizations and deaths are increased greatly. Amazing that even in regions where the virus is surging and hospitals are overflowing, the people in the region are calling it "fake news" OWS (General Perna) briefs VPOTUS on vaccine distribution. He is promising a lot. Did nice podcast fireside chat with The Hastings Center ut ke mm 10, 19 November 2020 All states and major metros now are deteriorating except HI = there are 29 states in the red zone and 9 states in orange zane BUT there is early evidence that strong early mitigation is impacting the rate of rise as specific states start to show a slowing of their cases New daily COVID confirmed admissions have reached 10,000/day and inpatient COVID patients reaching historic highs Last week 130% confirmed and suspected COVID cases were admitted = these drive PPE use = please review the daily data report =slide 5 Its not just the number of cases but the rate of rise - today's cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days ago - the rate of rapid rise in cases will translate toa proportional rapid rise in hospitalizations and deaths : but there is clear evidence that aggressive mitigation works We are now seeing the impact of the mitigation efforts put in place 2? weeks agoin the more populous states and suggestions of plateauing in these states see slide 6 -- this is very encouraging and we should reinforce these positive trends related to strang mitigation This joins the European data =slide 7 =that this Fall surge can be rapidly contained with mitigation We need ta change the rate of rise of cases to change the rapid rise in hospitalizations to preserve hospital capacity -- this is no longer about preventing a crisis = this is a crisis = this is about trying to save as many lives as possible within the crisis This will require a comprehensive Federal response with aggressive support to States to include: . Aggressive communication at the WH level masking requirements at all times outside of immediate household, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND critically limiting of social interactions to the immediate household for the next 60 days while we bridge to the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : this isa short term sacrifice to protect the vulnerable. We need to document precisely the number of vaccine doses available over the next 2 week for pilot roll out to LTCF. * Aggressive re-alignment of 4g testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues to trigger community spread in waves : ADM Giroir and CDC working with States and Tribal nations . Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning early vaccination into LTCF . Ensuring rapid tiering of those most vulnerable to rapid vaccine immunization access immediately upon EUA (CDC) . Short term Interventions : in States with demonstrated haspital staffing under threat - restricting indoor dining and limiting areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms and restricting indoor dining) will be needed as was successful in the USA in the summer and in Europe Without an immediate change we will hit 200,000 cases/day and 15M cases/week, and over 100,000 inpatients -- this Is unsustainable in our hospital system Over the Last 30 Days * Cases have risen from an average of 503,783/ week to now 1,129,789/week 224% increase * New COVID confirmed admissions have risen from 5500/day to 10,500/day 91% increase * New COVID confirmed and suspected admissions have increased from 89,708/week to 130,695/week 46% increase * Inpatient COVID patients has risen from 47,204 to now 77,518 64% increase * Inpatients with COVID currently rising at 17% week over week witha project of 84,306 inpatients next week and 100,000 inpatients the week after assuming the same rate of discharge (if sicker patients are admitted the % increase will become greater week over week) * Deaths have risen from 5623/week to now 8244/week average 47% increase CASE INCIDENCE IN LAST 7 DAYS AND COMPARISON TOTHE PREVIOUS 7 DAYS openbaar ha Cases per 100K by County Del: HEE Percent Change in Cases per 100K by County -- in the Week TNOV2020-17NOV2020 a in the Week 11NOV2020-17NOV2020 NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION // FOR OFFICIAL USE AND PLANNING PURPOSESONLY 10/1,400,000; USA --- Sharon Stone, Dr. Anthony Fauci to be Honored During Virtual Research in Action Awards Sharon Stone and her good friend Dr. Anthony Fauci are among the honorees at Treatment Action Group's virtual Research in Action Awards PRESS: Nexstar TV; White House Press conference (discussed vaccines and public health measures. Pence ran it and did not allow questions after the presentations. The reporters in the audience (Kaitlan Collins, Jon Karl and others) went nuts with anger; CNN with Chris Cuomo;
-
November 20, 2020 - Global - 56,600,000/1,400,000; USA - 11,700,000/251,700 he election. It really 20 November 2020 All states and major metros now are fully deteriorating except Hl-- there are 29 states inthe red zone and 9 states in orange zone -- the duration of rising cases and the rate of rise greater than the spring or summer which will prolong the high fatalities for the next 4-6 weeks rapidly reaching over 300,000 Increase test positivity reflects continued and active community spread, Increased cages leads to inereased hospitalizations and increasing fatalities There is no evidence that any prior infections at the population level is changing the above relathonship or providing any slanificant blunting ta the significant fatalities that will continue to ree rapidly. Finally by not detecting the silent spread in young people continues to drive ever expanding cases, hospitalizations and deaths As predicted we will hit 200,000 cases/day [neost likely Friday night) and 15M cases/week, and over 100,000 inpathents--this is unsustainable states without mitigation will have the highest fatalities rate : states that are ageressively mitigating will flatten their curves more quickly and preserve their hospital systems New daily OOVID confirmed admissions are over 10,000/day and inpatient COVID patients reaching historic highs -- there are rot significant new improvenents in treatmentta further improve CFR which will remain near 10% for those ower 70 and near 1% for those 40-69 - we will reach histaric highs in daily fatalities Last week 130K confirmed and suspected COVID cases were admitted ---these drive PPE use and staff needs-- Its not just the number of cases but the rate of rise - today's cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days ago - the rate of rapid rise in cases will translate to.a proportional rapid rise in hospitalizations and deaths : but there is clear evidence that aggressive mitigation works -- Europe is stabilizing We need to change the rate of rise of cases to change the rapid rise in hospitalizations to preserve hospital capacity --this is no longer about preventing a crisis -- this is a erisis -- this is about trying ta save as many lives as possible within the orisis This will require a comprehencive Federal response with aggressive support to States to Include: . Continued aggressive communication at the WH level masking requirements at all times outside of immediate household, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND eritically limiting of social interactions te the immediate household for the newt 60 days while we bridge te the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities: this is a short term sacrifice to protect the vulnerable, * Aggressive re-alignment of Ag testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues to trigger community spread in waves * Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning early vaccination inte LTCF * Ensuring rapid tiering of those most vulnerable to rapid vaccine immunization access immediately uponEUA (CDC * Short term mitigation interventions ; in States with demonstrated hospital staffing under threat - restricting indoor dining and limiting and/orclosing. areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms and restrictingindoor dining) willbe needed as was successful inthe US4 in the summerand in Europe Still surging out of control. Records being broken daily. 1700 deaths yesterday. 80,000+ people in hospital. 198,500 cases today. Hospitals started to be strained. Record hospitalizations. Media dominated by COVID and Trump clearly trying to overturn the results of the election. Incredibly he is bringing in State legislators to the White House to try and convince them to cast their electoral votes for him even though the populace voted for Biden and Biden won Michigan. The GOP leaders are remaining silent with very few exceptions. They are all afraid that TRUMP will target them either as a private citizen or if he runs in 2024. Shameful cowards!! I am so disappointed in Pence whom I really like. Giuliani is babbling incoherently as the top lawyer trying to overturn the election. It really seems that he is mentally decompensating. Percent Increase in Total Cases over 7 days bie =O © +1% @ >5% @ -10% @ 225% @ =50n @ =100% <20 Weekly Cases -- 57,300,000/1,400,000; USA --- PRESS: MSNBC - Chuck Todd and Meet the Press Daily; Univision TV with Jorge Ramos; Katie Couric TV Website; Fox TV - "Bill Hemmer Reports"; Wisconsin TV - ABC - WISN-TV, Adrienne Pedersen Anchor
-
November 21, 2020 (Saturday) - Global - 57,300,000/1,400,000; USA - 11,800,000/253,600 192,700 cases yesterday. Continual trend of worse and worse every day. Records of hospitalizations and deaths and daily cases continue to surge. See below. Trump and cronies (Giuliani et al) losing each of the court and other attempts to overthrow the election Had important Webex meeting at 9:00 AM (sunny) with Peter Marks, Cliff Lane, Francis Collins about the data from convalescent plasma that has been basis of EUA. Date are statistically significant, but very unimpressive. Need to treat 70 patients to benefit 1. 1. 21 November 2020 All states and major metros now are fully deteriorating except Hl -- there are 29 states in the red zone and 9 states in orange zone -- the duration of rising cases and the rate of rie greater than the spring or summer which will prolong the high fatalities for the next 4-6 weeks rapidly reaching over 300,000 There are suggestions of early stabllization in test positivity and cases inthe Northern Plains and Heartland as they experienced a break Inthe weather a couple of weeks ago but is has cooled again and with college students returning and the potential of multiple frlends and familly gatherings we could experience another rapid roe Concerning is the rapid rise in cases inthe next set of states which are much more populous and willdrive even higher hospitalizations and fatalities There is no evidence that any prior infections at the population level is changing the above relationship or providing any significant blunting to the significant fatalities that will continue tose rapidly. Finally by not detecting the silent spread in young people continues to drive ever expanding cases, hospitalizations and deaths As predicted we hit 200,000 cases/day (195,000) and LSM cases!week, and over 100,000 inpatients --this is unsustainable states without mitigation will have the highest fatalities rate: states that are aggressively mitigating will flatten their curves more quickly and preserve their hospital systems New dally COVID confirmed admissions are over 10,000,/day and inpatient COVID patients reaching historic highs -- there are not significant new improvements in treatment to further improve CFR which will remain near LO for those over 70 and near 1% for those 40-69 - we will reach historic highs in dally fatalities Last week 130K confirmed and suspected COVID cases were admitted --these drive PPE use and staff neecds-- Its not just the number of cases but the rate of ree - today's cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days ago - the rate of rapid rise in cases will translate to a proportional rapid rise in hoepital izations and deaths : but there ls clear evidence that aggressive mitigation works -- Europe is stabilizing We need to change the rate of rise of cases to change the rapid rise in hospitalizations to preserve hospital capacity-- this is mo longer about preventing a crisis -- this is a crisis -- this is about trying to save as many lives as possible within the erisis This will require a comprehensive Federal response with aggressive support te States ta Include: * Continued aggressive communication at the WH lewel masking requirements at all tines outside of rimediate household, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND critically limiting of social interactions te the immediate household for the next 60 days while we bridge ta the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing heepitalzations and fatalities : this is a shart tenm sacrifice ta protect the vulnerable. ' Conthvued critical guidance on Thanksglving ta limitindoor unmasking across households ' Aggressive re-alignment of Ag testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues to trigger cormnuntty spread in waves ' Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning early vaccination inte LICE ' Ensuring rapid tiering of thoee rest vulnerable ta rapid vaccie immunization access immediately upon EUA (COC) ' Short term mitigation interventions: restricting indoor dining and limiting and/or closing areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms ard restricting indoor dining) will be needed as was successful inthe USA inthe surmimner and in Europe Had Zoom with NIH people (Francis Collins, John Mascola, Kim Taylor, Gary Gibbons, Eliseo Perez-Stable, Cliff Lane) and with the Janssen people (Paul Stoffels, Mathai Mammen, Stacey Hargraves, Peter Ronco, Macaya Douoguih, et al) to review the status of the Janssen trial and to encourage getting greater diversity in the trial. Got call from Larry Horowitz tonight telling me that Peter Marks told him that Trump called up Steve Hahn today and told him that Alex Azar said that Steve lost the POTUS the election by holding up the news about the Pfizer vaccine. Trump was cursing Steve on the phone and then hung up. Steve did not know if he was going to get fired and told this to Peter who called up Larry. Still not sure what is going to happen. TRENDS IN CASE INCIDENCE DURING THE LAST 8 WEEKS Adore Aare Horthare Markers: inberch Seren Sas Seragehie = AA ing aed Mortara orth Dekote Pipteicte heat Whconie Rihigee Peer Terk "Fahad inland MalGiitrsiat Horm Oneger inane erporeing em Decom rt bebe ie Feenaps na Her be lta 'Coon Catorea tanga ine Pieieaiok Phirigeti Seeley Wieit Weginda 'wiweria Mir patd Deinmar period of 825-1118. 1a? capes por 100.000 oar ae eS ee iit lene Mew Mee Karriak kerio merrier Moa Carin = fut Carehee Bit. ! WI ul Iv yo Talavera bea ware Miiuwihian Maura 'Seetmlie Wiepien Hite e e Vi Vil Vill Ix x < = I ---- 7 -- ie A -- 2,000,000/255,100 22 November 2020 Ls There are 30 states inthe red zone and 9 states In orange zone -- the duration of rising cases and the rate of rise greater than the coring or summer which wall pralong the high fatalities for the neat 4-6 weeks rapidly reaching aver 300,000. BLT OL is alneedy inorowing with mitigation but IN continues to deteriorate without mitigation 2.0 There are suggestions of eaeby stabilization imtest positivity and cases in the Marthenn Plains and Heartlandwith the break in the weathers couple of weelcs aga but bs has coobed again and with callege students retunning and the potential of multiple friends and family gatherings we could experience another rapid rise Concerning Is the rapid mise in cases in the next cet of states which are much more pogudaus (NY, A, PACA, TX) and wall diriwe even higher hospitalizations and fatalities By inet detecting the silent spread in young peaple continues ta drive ever expanding cases, hasoitalizatians and deaths Buroge is imarceing ranicly with mitigation amd we are seeing early imarowerment in states with sbrong mitigation: New daily OOV10 confirmed admissions are aver 10,0000) dary and inpatient OOVI0 patients reaching historic hgghs - there are not significant new bmoroewements im treatment ta further imarcve CAR which wlll remain mea 10 fer thease over 70nd mea 1% for thee) 40-69 - axe wall reach historic highs iin daily fatalities A isnot just the numberof cases but the rate of rise - tocey's cases ane reflective of spread 20-14 days ago - the nate oftragi¢ rise in cases wall tranalate toa prapartional ragid rise in hospitalizations ard deaths 8&0 There are state examoles of changing the rate of rise of cases tachange the rapéd rise in hospitalizations to preserve hos pital capacity this Is mo banger about preventing a crisis this is acrisis ~ this is shout trying ta save as many lives as possible within the crisisand we have examples of states that ane: Improving a TAls will require a comprehensive Rederal resipanse with aggressie sunpeart to States te include statesments that Fraps: ard States with strong mitkgation arc ir resin g: Continued aggressive comm«anicatlon at thee WH laval masking ne-quiremennts at all times outside of Immediate household, physically distancing. hand hygiene: AND critically limiting of social Interactions to the Inmediata household for the neat BO days whole we bridge to the rani vaccination of the wulmerahle populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : this isa short term saoine to protect the vulnerable. * Continued critical guidance on Thanksgiving amd throughout the Holidayseason to linatt indoor wimasking across hou seh olds * Aggradsive re-alignment of Ag testing towants finding and prewentingunnclenting silent sprcad that continues to trigger coomenunity spread in wanwes * Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning early waccination inte LICE * Enduring rapid tering of those most wulmerahke: to rapid warckie inemunitation access Inionediabelly upc PLA One) * Short term mitigation Interventions : restricting Indoor diningand limiting andor closing areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms and restricting indoor ining) wall be needed as-was suscnes stil ir the L6, inthe sunimer and im Europe Pe»
-
November 22, 2020 - Global - 57,900,000/1,400,000; USA - 2,000,000/255,100 200,000 cases yesterday See UK below. Mitigation (closing bars, gyms; restricting indoor dining; confine dinners and activities to immediate households) works as shown in UK and even USA during the summer rise and decline: Daily New Cases in the United Kingdom Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GHT+0 40k # O ao = I % 14)\, = ook a i= i=] wk z 10 i=] = o ST ed ap gh gh a> a PP a "= bP PP ee ae et ab ah ee ae ah Gh a ae SEPM ge ys eee verre er . "ne ee ff of aa ® Dally Cases i f (] ~ f-day moving average New confirmed cases of Covid-19 in North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Minnesota, Montana and lowa Seven-day rolling average of new cases (per million), by number of days since 0.1 average daily cases (per million) first recorded 1,800 1,400 1,200 1,000 Number of days since 0.1 average daily cases (per million) first recorded Source: Financial Times analysis of data from the Covid Tracking Project. Data updated November 22 2020 2.09pm GMT. Interactive version: freom/feovid FINANCIAI North Dak Wyoming South Dak Minnesot. ® Montana lowa TIMES Some states may actually be starting to turn around as they start mitigating: Got a call from Nancy Messonnier expressing great concern that after the doses get delivered by Gen. Perna to the local state locations, that there is confusion in how to get the doses distributed. She says that the local health departments who have been given this responsibility either have no idea what they are doing or they need the resources that they do not have. She . -- 12,200,000/256,000 says her communications with Redfield are rare and she is distraught. She has more access to me than to Redfield. PRESS: Face the Nation (CBS) - with Margaret Brennan;
-
2020-11-23 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
November 23, 2020 - Global - 58,400,000/1,400,000; USA - 12,200,000/256,000 Very concerned that the travel over Thanksgiving will exacerbate the current surge. Some states that are mitigating (IL, NM) and doing much better than those that are not (IN, SD) Really good news in that both Moderna and Pfizer on further analysis of ther data are reporting very good efficacy after first dose and prior to second dose. AstraZeneca is reporting today 70% efficacy (on average) with 1⁄2 dose prime and full dose boost. Strange that 1⁄2 + full did better than full + full • Toronto Goes Into 28-Day Lockdown As COVID-19 Cases Surge. Remember when we got hit badly early on and Canada did so well people said we did not do it right, but Canada did. We could not figure out what "it" was. Now with the Fall surge, Canada is getting badly hit as is every place else. 10. 23 November 2020 There are 30 states in the red zone and 9 states in orange zone = the duration of rising cases and the rate of rise greater than the spring or summer which will prolong the high fatalities for the next 4-6 weeks rapidly reaching over 300,000, BUT ILis already improving with mitigation but IN continues to deteriorate without mitigation For the first time in 7 weeks the Sunday cases were less than last week's Sunday cases -- building on this now is critical -- we need to make it clear that choices will drive a post Thanksgiving surge because of the underlying high viral load that will be an overwhelming threat to the health care system. The improvement is due to states aggressively mitigating and it will be very evident over the next 60 days that mitigation saved lives and the lack of mitigation resulted in unnecessary high fatalities, Europe is improving rapidly with mitigation and we are seeing early improvement in states with strang mitigation States that did not mitigate in the Fall surge will end up with population CFR equal to the Spring surge when treatment was suboptimal, (ND, 5D, MT etc] There are now 26 States in the red and orange for hospitalizations of COVID cases = care deteriorates across all patients with and without COVID when states enter the red zone Mew daily COVID confirmed admissions are over 10,000/day and inpatient COVID patients reaching historic highs -- there are not significant new improvements in treatment to further improve CFR which will remain near 10% for those over 70 and near 1% for those 40-69 - we will reach historic highs in daily fatalities Its not just the number of cases but the rate of rise - today's cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days ago - the rate of rapid rise in cases will translate ta a proportional rapid rise in hospitalizations and deaths - we cannot sustain another surge that we have experienced over the past 7 weeks There are state examples of changing the rate of rise of cases to change the rapid rise in hospitalizations to preserve hospital capacity = this is mo longer about preventing a crisis -- this is a crisis = this is about trying ta save as many lives as possible within the crisis and we have examples of states that are improving This will require a comprehensive Federal response with aggressive support te States to include statements that Europe and States with strong mitigation are improving: * Continued aggressive communication at the WH level masking requirements at all times outside of immediate household, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND critically limiting of social interactions to the immediate household for the next 60 days while we bridge to the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : this is a short term sacrifice to protect the vulnerable. . Continued critical guidance on Thanksgiving and throughout the Holiday season to limit indoor unmasking across households * Aggressive re-alignment of Ag testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues to trigger community spread in waves . Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning early vaccination into LTCF " Ensuring rapid tiering of those most vulnerable to rapid vaccine immunization access immediately upon EUA (CDC) . Short term mitigation interventions : restricting indoor dining and limiting andor closing areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms and restricting indoor dining) will be needed as was successful in the USA in the summer and in Europe with -- 12,300,000/257,000 PRESS: RAI Italian TV; La Stampa/Vatican Radio interview with Paolo Mastriolli; Hcehinger Boston Radio (NPR); Yahoo Finance TV interview; Washington Post Live with Robert Costa; PBS NewsHour with Judy Woodruff; Zoom with Washingtonian Top Doctors
-
November 24, 2020 Global - 58,700,000/1,400,000 USA - 12,300,000/257,000 Surge continues. Europe starting to level off since they are shutting down in many countries. Despite CDC saying not to travel over holidays, millions of people, particularly students are crowding airports 24 November 2020 There are 29 statesin the red zone and 11 statesin orange zone--40 statesin fall resurgence -however casesare increasing across all states inclading the more populoms states which will significantly increase boespitalizations and fatalities All major metres lave or are excecling the spring aod summer surge cases except for NYC, MIA, HOW bat their nate of rise couhl drive them over their prior bighs in days Yesterday CA, OH. TX. IL. ES, BA, MN. FL NY. MI. WA, IN, CT were all at litstoric case high or were over 5000 cases'day with rising leepitalizations The deration of rising cases ad the rate of rive is greater than the spring or summer which willproleng the lugh fatalities for the wext 4-4 weeks rapidly reaching aver S00 (8M) American Eatalities -- testing (Mov testing wall be the eame at Get) and is not increasing at the rate of ibcreaking cases, hoepitalizations and Fatalities We need to make it clearthat choices (state and metro policy choices amd personal choices) will drive a post Thankspiving surae because of the underlying high viral load that will be an overwhelming threat to thee health care system. Many states are inadequately mitigating including prior suubelt states that mitigated wellin the summer. Aggressive mitigation needs te happen mow to prevent a catachyemic Holiday season for the boxpital systems. We found the fiends amd family small gatlerings driving hospitalizations during the state visits but we also know that these drivers appeared in the sunbelt atter the states fully mitigated in the public spaces - including signiticant reducing capacity or closing spaces where masks cannot be wer Current improvements are seen in 1-2 stvles aggressively mitigating and it wall be very evident over the next 60 clays that mitigwion saved lives and ihe lack of mitigation resulted in mnecessary high fatalities - States tht did net mitigate in the Pall surge willend wp with population CFR equal te the Spring surge when treatment was suboptimal - ND, SD, MT = states must be encoumged to advance polictes that mitigation against this Fall viral surge Europe countries with clear policies are improving rapidly with aggressive containment with mitigating policies and clear conmuaication and are carefully renpeniing There are now 27 States in the red and orange for hospitalizations of COVID cases -- care deterioretes across all patients with and withent COVID when states enter the red cone -- there are more states in this category everyday Confirmed Cases (Thousands) 2a) New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. 2m 57.5 iim Hf I I _ EAA TA TT I I I I I I I PE PES SL PSs FF TSF Pe LSAT PE HE Oe Fe F FPR FE FF Ce ee? Dery Mu ig Avarape Biden tweeted today that he has not spoken to me but his staff has and I have been "very, very helpful". I had told he press that I had not heard from the Biden team since my conversations with Ron Klain were supposed to be confidential since over the past several days Ron has contacted me about my advice for CDC Director and FDA Commissioner. I recommended Rochelle Walensky for CDC. Ron called he and liked her. Also, Ron told me that there was push back by some against Josh Sharfstein whom I recommended for FDA. In order not to have a contradiction with Biden, I have told CNN (Kaitlan Collins, Jim Acosta, etc.) GMA PRESS: NBC Radio The Takeaway; Healthline Live Stream; MTV Interview; FOX News Local DC; Yahoo News TV; Global USA ,000/1,400,000; 12,700,000/261,300 ay at
-
November 25, 2020 - Global USA 11:00 AM call with Azar regarding the role of ACIP in the recommendation for the prioritization of the distribution of vaccine starting in December. Azar feels (with advice from Bob Charrow) that ACIP has no statuary authority of being involved in the process. Azar wants to act early to without ACIP involvement get vaccine to both HCWs and nursing home and other vulnerables (aged). This would require using all of the first supply as the prime (and not withholding half the doses for the boost), thus allowing us to vaccinate more of the high priority group and depend on the integrity of the supply chain to supply the booster doses. His intent is good, but I point out that this would be a PR disaster since we have been saying all along that an independent body (ACIP) would be very much involved in these recommendations. It would be interpreted as sidestepping a established process by political influence. My argument turns the tide to get ACIP involved with us from the beginning. They may agree with us (which is great) or they may not whereby we can say we included them in the process, but we do not accept their recommendation Ron Klain texted me last night after midnight. I was asleep. He sent me video of Joe and Jill giving Thanksgiving message to be careful over Thanksgiving. I will speak with Ron Today. Ron just texted me and said that they decided on Rochelle Walensky for CDC director on my recommendation!! PRESS: Good Morning America (ABC) with George Stephanopoulos; C-SPAN Washington Journal; WINS Radio (NYC); WGN TV (Chicago); Byron Allen and GRIO, an African-American online TV interview; Huffington Post (Jeff Young) - writing a piece on "A Day in the Life of Dr. Fauci"; McClatchy (Mike Wilner) print interview on vaccines; Kaiser News Interview (Lauren Weber); Interview with Scientific American (Charles Schmidt); November. 26, 2020 (Thanksgiving) Global - 59,800,000/1,400,000; 12,700,000/261,300 USA Surge continues Trump not addressing the outbreak at all Consumed with blasting sway at people and pardoning people like Gen. Flynn. Georgia Senate re-run about to occur to determine control of the Senate. Went on walk with Will and Joli to Mall and was "mobbed" by well-wishers who wanted photos with me. Went to the steps of Lincoln Memorial and read the speech of Lincoln on the opposite wall of the Gettysburg Address. Strikingly referable to today: "Men who worship the same God can be so far apart on fundamental issues...." PRESS: U.S. News
-
Nov. 25, 2020 / 8:44 PM Fauci, Harris top 'Time' 2020 Person of the Year nominees 10, .-- 12,800,000/263,000 27 November 2020 There are 279 atetes in the red sone and 11 etates if orange zone = 40 etates in full recurgence however cases are increasing e¢roas all etates including the mare populous etates which will significantly increase hoepitalizations and fatalities - data will be unvtable including fatalities due to reperting changes All major metros have or are exceeding the apring and summer aunpe cased except for NYC, Ma, HOU but their rate of rise could drive then ever their priar highs in days Ihave included C4, IL, TX, PA the primary drivers of the large national numbers of cases and fatalities at this time The duration of rising cases and the rate of rise is greater than the spring or summer whech will prolong the high fatalities forthe next 4-6 weeks rapedly reaching over 200,000 American fatalities rapidly (Mov testing willbe the same at Qct) and & mot increasing at the rate of increasing cases, hospitalizations and fatalities We need to make it clear that choices (state and metro policy choices and personal choices} will drive a post Thanksgiving surge because of the underlying high viral load that will be an oversvhelming threat to the health care system. Many states are inadequately mitigating including sunbelt states that mitigated well in the summer. Aggressive mitigation needs tohapgen now to prevent a catechysmic Holiday season forthe hosgitel systems. CFR; population will correlate with bevel of mitigation. The mitigation choices states are making or not making will direct correlate on level of fatalities. The impact of these choices om human life will be very evident. Current improvements are seen im 1-2 states aggressively mitigating and it will be wery evident over the mext G0 days that mitigation saved lives and the lack of mitigation resulted in unnecessary high fatalities - States that did not mitigate in the Fadl surge will end up with population CPR equal to the Spring surge when treatment was subogtimal - WD, $0, M7 -- states must be encouraged to advance policies that mitigation against this Fall viral sunge We found the friends and farnily small gatherings driving hospitalizations during the state visits but we also kncew that those drivers agpeared im the sunbelt after the states fully mitigated in the public spaces -- including significant reducing capacity or closing spaces where masks cannot be vweonn Euroge countries with clear polcies are Improving rapedly with aggressive containment with mitigating policies and clear communication and are carefully reopening There are ow 27 States in the red and orange for hospitalizations of COVID cases -- care deteriorates across all patients with and without OOVID when states enter the red zone -- there are nore states in this category everyday New daiy COVID conflrmed admiisons are over LODO day and inpathent COVID patients reaching histori: haghs BODO linoeading LOKweek), nearly 45%) of all confirmed OOVID admissions ane ower 70 and CFR remains mear 10% for those over 70 and near 1% for those 40-69 - ye will reach historic highs im dally fatalities Although we were beginning to see early signs of decreases iin the rate of rise of hospitalizations I remain deeply wonred about apost Thanksgiving surge that will once propel us towards 450,000 deaths as the Fall surge continues Inte the winter ifwe cant both mitigate in publbc spaces and convince Americans ofthe danger There are state examples of changing the rate of rise of cases to change the ragid rise im hospitalizations to preserve hospital capacity -- this isino kenger about preventing a crists -- this is a crisis -- thits is about trying to save as many lirees as possible within the criss and we have examples of states that are improving 1, The virus is accelerating faster than our response and this requires am even further accelerated and comprehensive Federal response with aggressive support to States te include strong statements that Europe and States with strong mitigation are improving = there is a clear roadmap to contain this virus and preserve the health system: . Continued aggressive communication at the WH level masking requirements at all times outside of immediate household, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND critically limiting of social interactions to the immediate household for the next 60 days while we bridge to the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : this is a short term sacrifice to protect the vulnerable, We must directly confront the myths that many Americans believe . Many Americans believe that masks don't work due to prior tweets, that the epidemic is a hoax, that the figure of 94% of those whe died had co-morbidities meant that they died from something else and we have inflated the fatalities - instead of understanding that the co-morbidities predisposed them to severe COVID ' Clear recommendations to States about the importance of short term mitigation interventions : restricting indoor dining and limiting and/or closing areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms etc.) this was successful in the USA in the summer and was successful in Europe during their fall surge = states across the country are not mitigating adequately to preserve the health system . Continued critical guidance on the Holiday season to limit indoor unmasking across households if they choose to gather ' Aggressive re-alignment of Ag testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues to trigger community spread in waves =a hand full of states are moving in this direction . Expansion of MAT testing now to ensure colleges can access routine regular cost effective testing in January . Expanding frequency of LICF testing and aligning early vaccination into LTCF . With Moderna's potential of one shot resulting in some protection - aggressive immunization of the elderly could dramatically change hospitalization rates and fatalities in the next 30-35 days . Ensuring rapid tlering of thase most vulnerable to rapid vaccine immunization access immediately upon EWA = this may require implementation support ta the states and full utilization of federal qualified health clinics
-
November 27, 2020 - Global - 60, 300,000/1,400,000; USA - 12,800,000/263,000 Now concerned about the post-Thanksgiving surge 2a) New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. 2M FA EE \ Fy od Confirmed a : ps i a Mi qm oy say FF .-- 13,000,000/264,000 TRENDS IN HOSPITAL INPATIENT COVID UTILIZATION DURING THE LAST 8 WEEKS a --. Inpatient bed utilization cubegporien I heed OF ae Pe a a 'ik Hartharr, Markee: in bere Serene. Seeer Sernaehirs I J = ont by _ sap ry PP PPP rebate ee sae Record number of hospitalizations at >80,000