Private channel session 1381

3 messages over 8m, 2021-05-16 – 2021-05-16.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

1. 2021-05-16 02:09 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.819
   @Kristian Andersen This to me is the real killer - a random sampling of bats in a few locations at a few times is not going to find it. And then you have to have the chance that that one makes it into a live culture.
2. 2021-05-16 02:14 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.819
   The point about the unlikeliness of sampling the human transmissible virus by just sampling bats is totally key here. Sampling N bats taking them back to the lab and then exposing a few postdocs to each of the samples in turn is not going result in lab escape - vanishingly unlikely that SC2 was in the N bats in the first place (especially if they are from the same cave or area or time). The idea that 'lab escape' is plausible comes from the fact that 'escape' is plausible - it is plausible, it is 'lab capture'that isn't.
3. 2021-05-16 02:17 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.819
   Can you add that to Kristian's google doc - link above. It's coming on.